I hope you all have time to see this two brief videos and read the short comment below. The videos are part of an educational series put forth by the Population Research Institute of Front Royal, Virginia.
On Overpopulation
On Population growth
I read all of the YouTube comments on these videos and they are for the most part negative. Many there comment that the videos are obviously fallacious but fail to explain where the fallacy is.
These videos are actually a simple representation of a rather complex process. The growth of population will trigger many challenges but will also generate solutions of its own.
The problem of analyzing the growth of human population lies in the fact that it’s a very counter-intuitive problem.
Allow me to expose some of the fallacies in the YouTube comments.
Fallacy 1
The environment will suffer, species will go extinct
More species went extinct when mankind was less than 1 or 2 million people. Even more went extinct before there were any humans on earth. The problem lies not in the number of humans alive on the planet but rather in the actual behavior of the human population and its respect for the environment. The earlier populations of mankind were much more destructive of their environment than we are right now. Solving the problem of appropriately managing the environment will require people that work to preserve and enhance our environmental heritage (hopefully better than the American EPA.) In a world with scarce human resources the environment suffers more because humans require more from it at an individual level. Buffalo Bill Cody could not massacre thousands of bison today because we have enough “critical mass” to afford park rangers, administrators, biologists, and such. In the same manner mankind is now becoming more aware of the necessity to preserve the environment. In those countries where freedom and economic opportunity are abundant the damage to the environment is less than in those countries with limited economic opportunity, low education, or blatantly despotic regimes.
Fallacy 2
Let’s stabilize the population now
We can’t accelerate the natural process. Besides births cannot outpace deaths for ever. That is what these videos are trying to show. At one point more people die than those being born. As population grows, we shall be forced to grow wiser and administer goods more efficiently (I call that the WALMART trend.) We shall have more human time and capital to manage more and manage better. More geniuses will be born, also more plumbers, more carpenters, more pickpockets, and more dreamers, etc. We could not have national parks and rangers in 1770 but we could easily afford them when the population grew. So the population growth brought problems but also solutions. If we were to return to a population of say 2 billion (like some proposers of a “new order” have suggested) we would have to destroy huge swaths of the global economy and many of the areas we manage well today would not be managed at all. That would not benefit anyone but a few.
Eventually the population stabilizes by itself reaching a state of soft peaks and valleys. Trying to get to that point artificially triggers a population winter like the one Europe is already beginning to experience and China will experience in a few decades. DO THE MATH. Stop shouting “fallacy!” Pop growth control is the real suicide.
Fallacy 3
Poverty will overwhelm society
The SEARS catalog stores appeared when the population of the US was about 4 or 5 million people. At that point all could contribute to sustain an effective postal service. Both SEARS and the US POST OFFICE were new places where people would work and earn money to avoid being poor. The economy grew as these new systems and ideas reproduced and enriched the economic landscape.
After we reached 250 million or so it was possible to have WALMARTS. Notice that the net earnings of WALMART are huge but they represent the smallest percentage of the price of goods in history! That goes to show you that somewhere, someone is still thinking on how to fulfill the needs of more and more people all the time. This trend will accelerate and deepen. Corporations will be forced to be more efficient in fulfilling market demands. If they try to stick to a smaller market they will be swallowed whole by those who actually manage to serve larger markets. So GOOD SERVICE, FAIR PRICE and EFFICIENCY will become a matter of survival. That is going to become more and more evident as the population grows. This is one application of Jesus’ parable of the talents: the slave that hid the talent had to give it to the one managing the largest amount BECAUSE HE COULD MANAGE IT. By giving him one more talent the master ensured the best administration of the most assets. It’s simple common sense but not much in tune with Marxist “social justice” which impoverishes the most and ends up equalizing misery for all.
For the benefit of those of you who do not have a Bible handy, I include here the Parable of the Talents (Matthew 25:14-30; Luke 19:12-28) Here Jesus tells his disciples how the time of His return is going to be like… This was said twenty centuries ago.
“It will be as when a man who was going on a journey called in his servants and entrusted his possessions to them. To one he gave five talents; to another, two; to a third, one – to each according to his ability. Then he went away. Immediately the one who received five talents went and traded with them, and made another five. Likewise, the one who received two made another two. But the man who received one went off and dug a hole in the ground and buried his master’s money. After a long time the master of those servants came back and settled accounts with them. The one who had received five talents came forward bringing the additional five. He said, ‘Master, you gave me five talents. See, I have made five more.’ His master said to him, ‘Well done, my good and faithful servant. Since you were faithful in small matters, I will give you great responsibilities. Come, share your master’s joy.’ (Then) the one who had received two talents also came forward and said, ‘Master, you gave me two talents. See, I have made two more.’ His master said to him, ‘Well done, my good and faithful servant. Since you were faithful in small matters, I will give you great responsibilities. Come, share your master’s joy.’ Then the one who had received the one talent came forward and said, ‘Master, I knew you were a demanding person, harvesting where you did not plant and gathering where you did not scatter; so out of fear I went off and buried your talent in the ground. Here it is back.’ His master said to him in reply, ‘You wicked, lazy servant! So you knew that I harvest where I did not plant and gather where I did not scatter? Should you not then have put my money in the bank so that I could have got it back with interest on my return? Now then! Take the talent from him and give it to the one with ten. For to everyone who has, more will be given and he will grow rich; but from the one who has not, even what he has will be taken away. And throw this useless servant into the darkness outside, where there will be wailing and grinding of teeth.’
Carlos Caso-Rosendi
Blog
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